Extension of the benefits of agricultural biotechnology in Brazil and future challenges. BIO Latin America Conference Oct., 2016.

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Transcrição:

Extension of the benefits of agricultural biotechnology in Brazil and future challenges BIO Latin America Conference Oct., 216 Paula Carneiro Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence.

Adoption of agricultural biotechnology by technology (million hectares) Adoption of agricultural biotechnology by state (million hectares) Adoption of agricultural biotechnology by culture (million hectares) Overview of the adoption of agricultural biotechnology in Brazil 5 4 3 Soybean Corn, total Cotton Total 41,4 12,9 43,3 45,7 12,7 13,5 Consolidation of agricultural biotechnology in major crops GM Convencional 2 1 27,8 29,8 31,4 Corn, Winter 9,8% 5 2/3 3/4 4/5 5/6 6/7 7/8 8/9 9/1 1/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16p MT PR RS GO MS Others Brazil 41,4 43,3 45,7 Corn, Summer 79,9% 4 3 2 1 11,3 9,9 1,4 3,5 3,6 4, 4,2 4,3 4,4 5,7 6, 6,1 6,9 7,1 7,5 11,2 11,9 12,5 2/3 3/4 4/5 5/6 6/7 7/8 8/9 9/1 1/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16p Corn, total 86,8% 5 4 3 2 Herbicide tolerance (HT) HT & IR Insect resistance (IR) Total 41,4 43,3 45,7 8,5 14, 26,2 6,7 5, 3,6 Cotton Soybean 77,6% 95,2% 1 26,2 24,4 16, Source: CÉLERES 2/3 3/4 4/5 5/6 6/7 7/8 8/9 9/1 1/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16p % 5% 1% Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence. Página 2/1

Number of entries for pesticides sprays in cotton (214/15) Number of entries for pesticides sprays in corn, Winter (214/15) Number of entries for pesticides sprays in soybean (214/15) Spray comparison of pesticides in soybean, corn and cotton by technology 12 1 8 6 4 2 1,3 9,5 7, 5,9 6,1 5,3 5,5 5,5 5,5 5,9 5,9 4,4 4,5 4,8 5,3 4, TH RI/TH TH RI/TH TH RI/TH TH RI/TH TH RI/TH TH RI/TH TH RI/TH TH RI/TH BA GO MG MS MT PR RS Brazil 5 4 3 3,2 4, 4,1 4,4 4, 3,8 3,5 4,7 3,9 4, 4, 4, 3,4 3,8 3,8 4,2 2 1 RI RI/TH Conv RI RI/TH Conv RI RI/TH Conv RI RI/TH Conv RI RI/TH Conv RI RI/TH Conv GO MS MT PR SP Brazil 4 3 2 31, 3,3 38,1 36,3 26,6 26,5 26, 31, 18,3 21, 23,8 25,5 23,4 21,6 23,2 25,3 25,8 26,8 28,4 33,7 1 RI RI/TH TH Conv RI RI/TH TH Conv RI RI/TH TH Conv RI RI/TH TH Conv RI RI/TH TH Conv RI RI/TH TH Conv BA GO MG MS MT Brazil Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence. Página 3/1

Evolution of the economic benefits generated by biotechnology in the past and projected (US$ billion) 12 $66.1 1 Ten years forecast 8 6 Accumulated for the last 19 years 4 $32.9 2 96/97 14/15 Total 24/25 Total Source: CÉLERES Agronomic, economic and environmental benefits of agricultural biotechnology in Brazil Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence. Página 4/1

Benefits already achieved thanks to the introduction of biotechnology in agriculture in Brazil, projections and legal support for the adoption of transgenic events in the country For the last 18 years, Brazilian farmers generated significant environmental benefits with biotechnology adoption Present Even greater benefits are expected for the next ten years, especially when considering the country s potential for expanding area Future Much of this was made possible by a robust and effective regulatory framework that gives Brazil a prominent position in Latin America when it comes to the historical, institutional, regulatory and technical aspects of the legislation that approves GMOs in the country Classification of countries by the regulatory framework that assesses GMOs in Latin America (base 1) Water 49.1 billion liters Water 113. billion liters 9,7 Historical Regulatory Final evaluation Institutional Technical 28,1 78,3 72,2 69,8 77,8 68, Diesel 49.5 million liters Diesel 943 million liters 23,2 21,7 19,5 25,1 21,2 24,9 2,8 19,4 16,5 22, CO 2 1.1 million equivalent tco 2 CO 2 2.5 million equivalent tco 2 28,9 25,2 23,2 26,5 23, 24,7 15,5 Chemicals 66.1 thousand tons of active ingredient Chemicals 232.5 thousand tons of active ingredient 8,8 9, 7,9 7,5 7,8 6,7 Brazil Argentina Uruguay Paraguay Colombia Mexico Source: CÉLERES Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence. Página 5/1

Number of new protocols Months until the final approval The Brazilian modern regulatory framework allowed a functional system for ag biotech approvals Evolution of protocols registrations and approvals of ag biotech traits in Brazil Protocols Time (months) 9 8 7 6 The average time required for the approval of a transgenic product fell from 22 months in the past 15 years to about 16 months at present, thanks to the excellent structure and evaluation system of the Brazilian agency CTNBio and, in addition, events that have happened in recent years that accelerated the assessment process of GMOs, such as the approval of the Biosafety Law in 25. 12 1 8 5 4 6 3 4 2 1 2-1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 - Source: CTNBio Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence. Página 6/1

Diversity of factors determinant to the Brazilian agricultural performance Given the expectations around possible benefits of agricultural biotechnology in Brazil for the next ten years, what are the major challenges that will be faced by policy makers and companies? biomes climates soils Brazil is a country of significant agricultural production, one of the very disparate regional differences, and soils that, despite sharing only that simultaneously live productive consolidation and borders, also differ significantly; expansion of agricultural frontier. The characteristic climate, These are some of the variables that, combined, make up the tropical, provides the prevalence of organic living matter and that is constantly changing. A great biodiversity can be observed, with great challenge that is to develop products that perform with excellence in each of the different Brazilian regions. Source: CÉLERES Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence. Página 7/1

Diversity of technological levels existing in Brazil portrayed in yield The overlap of different biomes, climate and soils, as well as historical factors of the Brazilian agriculture, culminate in a large soybean yield range, and that does not follow regional standards; The same is observed for corn, but with greater regional concentration and a greater number of states with excellent yield levels. It is clear, however, that the cereal reality is made of extremes in Brazil: a North/Northeast of poor production conditions while the Middle/South concentrates properties with the best performances in the country. Average yield levels of soybean in the past decade Average yield levels of corn in the past decade Low technology or subsistence 2,5 kg/ha Low technology or subsistence 3, kg/ha Intermediate technological level 2,51 3, kg/ha Intermediate technological level 3,1 5, kg/ha Highly technological agriculture > 3,1 kg/ha Highly technological agriculture > 5,1 kg/ha Source: CÉLERES Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence. Página 8/1

Conclusion To meet these different realities, what should we expect from law makers and from the market so that the continuity and innovation of the Brazilian agricultural biotechnology is perpetuated? Continuous improvement of regulatory and institutional aspects Guarantee of trade flows, with synchronized approvals Preservation of technologies through management and appropriate monitoring Assurance mechanisms for intellectual property Integration Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence. Página 9/1

Céleres Your Agribusiness Intelligence Telephones +55 34 3229-1313 +55 34 3229-4949 Av. Nicomedes Alves dos Santos, 125 Room 28 World Business Center building Uberlândia Minas Gerais Brazil CEP: 38411-16 www.celeres.com.br celeres@celeres.com.br Associated Arcadia International (Brussels, Belgium) ISAAA board member Coligates Copyright Céleres 216. Todos os direitos reservados. Toda a informação contida neste documento é de propriedade intelectual da Céleres - Your Agribusiness Intelligence. Página 1/1