UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DO RIO GRANDE DO SUL FACULDADE DE CIÊNCIAS ECONÔMICAS PROGRAMA DE PÓS-GRADUAÇÃO EM ECONOMIA ÁREA ECONOMIA DO DESENVOLVIMENTO

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1 UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DO RIO GRANDE DO SUL FACULDADE DE CIÊNCIAS ECONÔMICAS PROGRAMA DE PÓS-GRADUAÇÃO EM ECONOMIA ÁREA ECONOMIA DO DESENVOLVIMENTO IIº TRIMESTRE DE 2019 MACROECONOMIA II ECOP 21 Professor: Octavio Augusto Camargo Conceição e Fernando Ferrari Filho Número de créditos e carga horária: 3 créditos e 45 h/a Dias letivos: 21/06; 28/06; 05/07; 12/07; 19/07; 26/07; 02/08; 09/08; 16/08; 23/08; 30/08; 06/09. Avaliação: 1) Participação em seminários e 2) Elaboração conforme escolha do aluno de: 1 PROVA com 2 questões (Prof. Octavio + Prof. Ferrari). As questões deverão ter, no máximo, 2 páginas cada uma (com espaço 1,5, TNR, 12); OU 1 PAPER com, no mínimo, 7 páginas (com espaço 1,5, TNR, 12) sobre os temas e artigos discutidos em aula. ROTEIRO DAS AULAS AULA CONTEÚDO AUTORES EXPOSITOR 1 Crescimento, instituições e Conceição (2008) 21/06 mudança tecnológica I: Conceição (2002) 2 28/ / /07 Introdução Crescimento, instituições e mudança tecnológica II: Inventário de abordagens Modelos de crescimento endógeno: a tradição de Solow e a tentativa de superação novo-clássica (modelos de crescimento endógeno) Crescimento econômico e restrição de balanço de Conceição (2000) Bell; Pavitt (1993) Boyer (1993; p ) Dosi (1988a) Taylor (2004) Barro; Sala-i-Martin (1995). Lucas, (1988). Mankiw; Romer; Weil (1992). Romer (1996). Solow (1956). Thirwall (2003), capítulos 1 e 2 Ferrari

2 5 19/07 pagamentos A tentativa de superação evolucionária I: a formalização neoschumpeteriana Nelson, (1987) Arthur (1989) Fagerberg; Verspagen (2003) Lundvall (1988) 6 26/07 Hipótese de Fragilidade Financeira Minsky (2008) Ferrari 7 02/ /08 A tentativa de superação evolucionária II: paradigma tecnológico vis-àvis long waves A contribuição institucionalista Dosi (1983) Dosi (1988b) Freeman; Perez (1988) Matthews (1996) North (1994) Zysman (1994) North (2005; 2015) 9 16/08 O modelo agente-based Arthur (2005) Dosi et al. (2016) 10 23/08 A nova agenda de pesquisa Nelson (1998 e 2008a) 11 30/ /09 Avancos Recentes na Tradicao Macroeconomica de Kalecki Regimes de Crescimento e Demanda Efetiva Lopez e Assous (2010) caps. 4 e 5 Sadowski e Szeworski (2004) caps. 7 e 10 Minsky (2013) Rugitsky (2013) Cap. 7 Cap. 11 Lavoie e Stockhammer (2013) caps. 1 e 2 Cap. 6 AULA 1 CONCEIÇÃO, Octavio A. C. (2008). A Dimensão Institucional do Processo de Crescimento Econômico: inovações e mudanças institucionais, rotinas e tecnologia

3 social. Revista Economia e Sociedade. Revista do Instituto de Economia da Unicamp, Campinas, SP. V. 17, n. 1 (32), p CONCEIÇÃO, Octavio A. C. (2002). A relação entre processo de crescimento econômico, mudança e instituições na abordagem institucionalista. Revista ENSAIOS FEE. Vol. 23, Número Especial, 1º Encontro de Economia Gaúcha PUCRS-FEE, P CONCEIÇÃO, O. A. C. (2000). A centralidade do conceito de inovação tecnológica no processo de mudança estrutural. Revista ENSAIOS FEE. Porto Alegre, FEE, Ano 21, nº 2, p AULA 4 BELL, M. & PAVITT, K. (1993). Technological accumulation and industrial growth: contrasts between developed and developing countries. Industrial and Corporate Change, 2 (2): BOYER, R. (1993). Labour institutions and economic growth: a survey and a regulationist approach. Labour, 7(1): DOSI, Giovanni (1988a). Introduction. In: DOSI, G. et al (eds.) Technical Change and Economic Theory. London, Pinter Publishers. TAYLOR, LANCE (2004). Reconstructing Macroeconomics: Structuralist Proposals and Critiques of the Mainstream. Harvard University Press. Cambridge, Massachusetts and London, England. Second Edition. AULA 5 BARRO, R.; SALA-I-MARTIN, X. (1995). Economic Growth. New York, McGraw-Hill. LUCAS, R. (1988). On the mechanisms of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22. MANKIW, G.; ROMER, P.; WEIL, D. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Quartely Journal of Economics, 152, May. AULA 6 NELSON, R. (1987). Understanding technical change as an evolutionary process. Lectures in Economics: Theory, Institutions, Policy, 8. ARTHUR, W. B. (1989). Competing technologies increasing returns and lock-in by historical events. Economic Journal, 99, March: FAGERBERG, J.; VERSPAGEN, B. (2003). Innovation, growth e economic development: Why some countries succeed and others don t. Paper prepared for the First GLOBELICS Conference: Innovation, System and Development Strategies for the Third Milenium, Rio de Janeiro, November. AULA 7

4 DOSI, G. (1983). Technological paradigms and technological trajectories: the determinantes and directions of technical change and the transformation of the economy. In: FREEMAN, C. (ed.). Long Waves in the World Economy. London, Butterwordth. DOSI, Giovanni (1988b). The nature of the innovative process. In: DOSI, G. et al (eds.). Technical Change and Economic Theory. London, Pinter Publishers. FREEMAN, C.; PEREZ, C. (1988). Structural crises of adjustment business, cycles and investment behaviour. In: DOSI, G. et al (eds.) Technical Change and Economic Theory. London, Pinter Publishers. AULA 8 NORTH, D. C. (1994). Economic performance through time. American Economic Review, 84(3):359-68, June. MATTHEWS, R. C. O. (1986). The economics of institutions and the sources of growth. Economic Journal, 96: , December. ZYSMAN, John. (1994). How Institutions Create Historically Rooted Trajectories of Growth. Industrial and Corporate Change, 3(1): HODGSON, Geoffrey M. (2002). The Evolution of Institutions: An Agenda for Future Theoretical Research. Constitutional Political Economy, 13, p North (2005). Understanding the process of economic change. North et allii (2015). Violence and Social Order. AULA 9 ARTHUR, W. Brian. (2005). Out-of-Equilibrium Economics and Agent-Based Modeling. SFI WORKING PAPER: DOSI,_Giovanni, NAPOLETANO, Mauro, ROVENTINI Andrea and TREIBICH Tania (2016). Micro and Macro Policies in the Keynes+Schumpeter Evolutionary Models. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, (Forthcoming) in July 11, ResearchGate. AULA 10 NELSON, Richard (1998). The agenda for growth theory: a different point of view. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 22: (2002). Bringing institutions into evolutionary growth theory. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 12: (2008a). What enables rapid economic progress: What are the needed institutions?. Research Policy, 37, p (2008b). Economic Development from the Perspective of Evolutionary Economic Theory. Oxford Development Studies, 36, nº 1, mar. AULA 11

5 DUMENIL, GERARD.; LEVY, DOMINIQUE. (2011) Modeling Monetary Macroeconomics: Kalecki Reconsidered. Metroeconomica, Vol. 62, Issue 4. KING, John E. (Ed.) (1996) An Alternative Macroeconomic Theory: The Kaleckian Model and Post-Keynesian Economic. Springer Netherlads. LOPEZ, Julio G.; ASSOUS, Michael (2010) Michal Kalecki. London: Palgrave. MINSKY, Hyman (2013) The Relevance of Kalecki: The Useable Contribution. PSL Quarterly Review, vol. 67 N. 265, REYNOLDS, Peter. (1987) Political Economy: A Synthesis of Kaleckian and Post Keynesian Economics. Wheatsheaf. RUGITSKY, Fernando M. (2013) Degree of monopoly and class struggle: political aspects of Kalecki s pricing and distribution theory. Review of Keynesian Economics, Vol. 1 No. 4, Winter, pp SADOWSKI, Zdzislaw L.; SZEWORSKI, Adam (2004). Kalecki's Economics Today. London: Routledge. SEBASTIANI, Mario (1989). Kalecki's Relevance Today. Londres: Palgrave MacMillan. SEBASTIANI, Mario (1994). Kalecki and Unemployment Equilibrium. Nova Iorque: St. Martin's Press. TOPOROWSKI, Jan e MAMICA, Lukasz (2014) Michał Kalecki in the 21st Century. Londres: Palgrave MacMillan. AULA 12 BHADURI, Amit. and MARGLIN, Stephen (1990) Unemployment and the real wage: the economic basis for contesting political ideologies. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 14, p BHADURI, Amit (2008) On the dynamics of profit-led and wage-led growth. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 32, p CALDENTEY, Esteban Perez e VERNENGO, Matias (2013) Wage and Profit-led Growth: The Limits to Neo-Kaleckian Models and a Kaldorian Proposa. Levy Economics Institute Working Paper 775. CESARATTO, Sergio (2012) Neo-Kaleckian and Sraffian controversies on accumulation theory. Quaderni del dipartimento di economia politica e statistica, 650. HEIN, Eckhard (2011) Finance-dominated capitalism, re-distribution, household debt and financial fragility in a Kaleckian distribution and growth model. Working Paper, Institute for International Political Economy Berlin, No. 11. HEIN, Eckhard (2013) Finance-dominated capitalism and redistribution of income: A Kaleckian perspective, Working Paper, Levy Economics Institute, No LAVOIE, Marc and STOCKHAMMER, Engelbert (2013) Wage-led Growth: An Equitable Strategy for Economic Recovery. Londres: Palgrave MacMillan. Basle: ILO. Aulas Ferrari

6 MINSKY, H.P. Stabilizing an Unstable Economy. McGraw Hill, THIRLWALL, A.P. (2003). Trade, the Balance of Payments and Exchange rate Policy in Developing Countries. Northampton:Edward Elgar