Tchiarles Hilbig, Country Manager, Energy

Transcrição

1 ENERGY PERSPECTIVAS PARA A ENERGIA E FONTE SOLAR FOTOVOLTAICA Tchiarles Hilbig, Country Manager, Energy 1 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

2 EXPERIÊNCIA NO BRASIL 4.5 GW+ Avaliamos mais de 4.5 GW de Projetos solares de grande escala desde GPM GPM é a nossa plataforma para monitoramento e operação de parques solares STORAGE Certificação, consultoria, desenvolvimento e testes 35 GW + 2 GW + TOP 10 Avaliamos mais de 35 GW de projetos eólicos para leilão, TDD M&A e Financiamento. 2 *Our testing, certification and advisory services are independent from each other 2 GW de projetos eólicos passaram pela análise do desempenho da operação Trabalhamos com as 10 maiores empresas que desenvolvem projetos renováveis no Brasil.

3 A DNV GL TEM UMA PRESENÇA GLOBAL Serviços de consultoria solar desde 1993 Uma gama completa de serviços de consultoria - ajudando nossos clientes a gerenciar riscos Equipe global de especialistas em energia solar Berkeley, CA USA San Ramon, CA USA San Diego, CA USA Querétaro, Mexico Santiago, Chile Montreal, Canada Troy, NY USA Bristol, England Paris, France Barcelona, Spain Porto Alegre, Brazil Hamburg, Germany Arnhem, Netherlands Fortaleza, Brazil Hovik, Norway Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Dresden, Germany Dubai Bangalore, India Singapore Yokohama, Japan Beijing, China Shanghai, China Bangkok, Thailand Cape Town, South Africa Melbourne, Australia 3

4 SERVIÇOS PARA PROJETOS E COMPONENTES SOLARES FEASIBILITY ENGINEERING & DEVELOPMENT CONSTRUCTION & COMMISSIONING OPERATION Feasibility studies Due diligence / Independent engineering Due diligence/ Independent engineering Performance validation Utility grid integration Owner s engineering Owner's engineering Resource and energy forecasting Environmental permitting Component technology reviews Component qualification testing Type and component certification of PV inverters Energy assessment Pre-construction engineering Interconnection support Project certification Construction oversight System testing and inspection Project certification and grid code compliance Declaration of conformity Module batch testing Project certification Existing asset consulting, inspections and decommissioning Refinancing and mergers and acquisitions advisory services Forensic investigations Monitoring, control and asset management Project certification 4 *Our testing, certification and advisory services are independent from each other

5 Energy Transition Outlook

6 Uma era de energia abundante e mais limpa está à nossa frente " 6

7 UMA DIVISÃO IGUAL EM

8 A DEMANDA DE ENERGIA TEM SEU PICO EM 2035 PEAK 8

9 ELETRICIDADE SERÁ MAIS DO QUE O DOBRO 10

10 VEÍCULOS ELÉTRICOS LEVES 50% 11

11 PV SOLAR DOMINARÁ A MISTURA DE FONTES 13

12 Os custos de energia e armazenamento estão em forte declínio Erosão significativa dos custos de energia* Offshore wind 65 /MWh Average Price Onshore wind 47.3 /MWh 40 /MWh Photovoltaic power generation 43 /MWh 59 /MWh Redução forte e contínua dos custos de armazenamento** /KWh /KWh tipping point for mass market /KWh *Source: Published recent average auction results, Europe, **Source: Bloomberg New Energy Outlook

13 MAIS DE 5x NOVA CAPACIDADE INSTALADA TW 15

14 MIX DE ENERGIA Energy carrier Off-grid PV 0% 0% 0% Solar thermal 0% 0% 0% Electricity 18% 25% 46% Direct heat 0% 0% 0% Hydrogen 0% 0% 0% Biomass 16% 14% 12% Geothermal 0% 0% 0% Natural gas 18% 20% 19% Oil 45% 37% 18% Coal 3% 4% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% Table entries may not add up due to rounding. 16

15 MIX DA GERAÇÃO DE ELETRICIDADE Power station type Non-Fossil 55% 73% 95% Offshore wind 0% 0% 5% Onshore wind 3% 8% 16% Solar PV 0% 7% 36% Solar thermal 0% 0% 0% Hydropower 45% 50% 34% Biomass-fired CHP 0% 0% 0% Biomass-fired 4% 4% 3% Geothermal 1% 0% 0% Nuclear 2% 3% 1% Fossil 45% 27% 5% Gas-fired CHP 0% 0% 0% Gas-fired 26% 14% 2% Oil-fired 12% 9% 3% Coal-fired CHP 0% 0% 0% Coal-fired 7% 4% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% Table entries may not add up due to rounding. 17

16 ELECTRICITY CAPACITY Regional installed electricity capacity in GW Solar PV ,154 Wind Hydropower Thermal

17 ENERGIA SOLAR - RECURSO Recurso solar excepcional Acúmulo de mais de 20 GW de projetos participando dos leilões de energia Iniciativas para combinar energia eólica, solar e armazenamento. Melhorias regulatórias para impulsionar mini e microgeração Global Horizontal Irradiation KWh/m2/ano Chile 2921 Mexico 2483 Brazil 2337 United States 2300 United Arab 2275 China 2191 Germany

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19 Tchiarles Hilbig Country Manager, Energy Brazil / SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER The trademarks DNV GL, DNV, the Horizon Graphic and Det Norske Veritas are the properties of companies in the Det Norske Veritas group. All rights reserved. 21