Brazilian Coal Industry How to Develop.

Transcrição

1 Brazilian Coal Industry How to Develop. Fernando Luiz Zancan President of the Brazilian Coal Association - ABCM Beijing, 28 October 2015

2 Brazil Energy Resources Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral 27 years without geologic survey 1% 19% Energy 31% oil natural gas coal 7% hydro 42% nuclear Source : BEN toe

3 What about coal resources? Have we coal in northeast of Brazil? Coal Peat Lignite Argentina Uruguai Two decades without geologic survey

4 BRAZILIAN COAL RESOURCES UF Field Resource (10 6 t) % Paraná Cambuí 44 0,14 Sapopema 45 0, ,28 Santa Catarina Barro Branco ,29 Bonito ,04 Pré-Bonito 414 1, ,64 Rio Grande do Sul Candiota ,67 Leão ,68 Charqueadas ,43 Iruí/Capané ,47 Murungava ,86 Santa Terezinha/Torres , ,08 Source: Informative of Coal Industry DNPM / 2000 Sub-bituminous and Bituminous coal high ash RS Candiota PR Mining Areas SC Leão Iruí / Capané Charqueadas Cambuí Sapopema Barro Branco Bonito Pré-Bonito Santa Terezinha Murungava

5 Geological Survey for Coal REMPLAC Program Ministry of Marine and Brazilian Geologic Service

6 BRAZILIAN COAL INDUSTRY Resources: 31,7 billion ton (90% RS) Production - ROM (2014): 13,5 million ton Saleable Coal 7,6 million ton Companies: 15 Number of Employees (2014): Market Share (2014): 82 % Power Generation Power Generation = MW All industry has ISO 14001

7 Brazil - Energy Offer (%) PNE 2030 MATRIZ DE OFERTA DE ENERGIA (%) 100% 2,9 13,8 9,1 OUTRAS RENOVÁVEIS (4,3 H-BIO&BIODIESEL) 80% 13,0 18,5 5,5 PRODUTOS DA CANA LENHA&C.VEGETAL 60% 40% 1,2 14,8 13,5 6,3 3,0 9,4 6,9 15,5 HIDRÁULICA NUCLEAR CARVÃO MINERAL Coal GÁS NATURAL 20% 38,7 28,0 PETRÓLEO 0% milhões tep e 44,5% renováveis 557 milhões tep e 46,6% renováveis Source :MME

8 POWER GENERATION MATRIX 100% 2,3% 2,3% 1,5% Derivados do Petróleo 95% 90% 85% 80% 0,0% 0,1% 9,9% 10,1% 9,3% 1,6% 1,9% 2,7% 2,3% 2,6% 3,3% 1,1% 1,3% 4,1% Gás Natural Coal Carvão Nuclear Eólica e Outros 75% 70% 83,9% 80,8% 2,9% 76,1% Biomassa Hidráulica Source: MME 101 mil 84,0 % 143 mil 83,2 % 221 mil 83,1 % Total (MW): Renewable energy:

9 Security of supply = Termo power generation Less Hydro Annual Storage Hydro : old = 0,51 Km 2 /MW new = 0,06 Km 2 /MW Planning Storage of energy/energy demand Source : ONS may/13

10 2014/15 - Lack of water = Thermal dispach Thermal Power generation Coal power With 1 GW of new coal power we can decrease the cost of dispach in 250 million U$D monthly

11 How to operate & cost? 1 S Expansion Km transmission lines

12 Coal is only 2,5 % 1% 2% 6% 0% 4% Capacity in dez/2014 4% 10% 9% 64% Hydro gas wind biomass nuclear coal oil solar import 80 % renewable Source : EPE

13 Electric Matrix 2014/2019 Type of generation Increase 2014/19 Hidro Nuclear Gas/LNG Coal Biomass Others Oil Wind Solar

14 Planning - PDE 2024 Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral Instaled Capacity in Integrated System SIN in 2024 = 209 GW Increase : 3 GW/y firm energy 24; 12% 8; 4% 7; 3% 18; 9% New power: 84 GW 43 % already contracted 117; 57% 30; 14% 3; 1% Hydro Nuclear Fossil Wind Solar PCH Biomass Renewables : 83 % 47 GW planned is renewable After 2024???? No more hydro

15 We need to look at coal... After 2035 the energy system changes deeply with hydropower potential depletion Coal-fired plants equipped with postcombustion CCS acquire importance after 2035 After 2040, the main choice is IGCC plants equipped with selexol CCS Larissa Pinheiro Pupo Nogueira1, André Frossard Pereira de Lucena, Régis Rathmann, Pedro Rua Rodriguez Rochedo, Alexandre Szklo, Roberto Schaeffer - COPPE Energy Planning Program, Graduate School of Engineering Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro Fonte: International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 2014

16 If these Projects move on... Project Capacity MW Coal Consumption tpy Investment U$D billion USITESC/SC ,75 ENEVA/RS ,30 CTSUL/RS ,60 Termopampa/RS ,85 Total ,50 Coal Production in 2014 : t

17 Brazilian Emissions Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral 2% Sectors 15% GgCO2 eq - GWP 3% 61% 19% Energia Proc. Industrial Agricultura Uso do Solo Residuos Source : MCT Electricity: 1.5% of GHG emissions

18 Emissions We will be green Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral MW 2015 % 2030 % 2035 % Hydro ,84% ,82% ,62% Nuclear ,35% ,67% ,81% Gas ,53% ,79% ,55% Coal ,15% ,69% ,94% Oil ,28% ,58% ,98% Biomass ,19% ,55% ,30% Wind ,67% ,88% ,79% TOTAL % Renewable 82,69% 81,26% 81,72% Power generation MtCO2 41,41 8,31% 104,3 8,60% emissions from power generation (%) 2,03% 3,77% Total emissions*mtco2 2016, ,67 *Source: LA ROVERE, Emílio L.; DUBEUX, Carolina B.S.; PEREIRA JR, Amaro O.; Wills, William. Brazil beyond 2020: from deforestation to the energy challenge. Climate Policy. 13 (2013), S01, PP

19 Roadmap Tecnológico para Produção, Uso Limpo e Eficiente do Carvão Mineral Nacional Centro de Gestão e Estudos Estratégicos Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação MCTI Brazilian Coal Technology Roadmap

20 RD&I Goals Develop technologies for coal mining and utilization in a sustainable way CCS Add value to coal R&D for high value products including CTL to hydrogen Optimized all process related to the coal economic chain Capacity Building for all the technologies Manage the R&D + I resources Knowledge Management Central Increase partnership: CPRM, CETEM, Petrobras, Eletrobras, private companies, universities network and international partnerships (NETL, etc)

21 Social commitment of coal R&D + Capacity Building SATC CTCL students Criciúma /SC Faculty of Engineering: Electric, Mechanics, Chemistry, Computing

22 Associação Beneficente da Indústria Carbonífera da SC - SATC SATC is a philanthropic private institution that deal with education, technology and innovation. Social Commitment of the Coal Industry from Santa Catarina - 1% of the revenue

23 Low carbon technology center - SATC CTCL fossil fuels s laboratory CCUS lab Criciúma/SC

24 CSATC/CTCL/NETL CCUS Research Block-Diagram of ARI s Moving Bed TSA CO 2 Capture Process 2,2 million U$D Project Dry adsorbent-based carbon capture process with internal heat recovery Zeolite synthesis from ash Research includes bench scale tests, process modeling, CFD modeling and economic evaluation. Goal is conceptual design of a carbon capture pilot unit to apply in a slipstream of a pulverized coal electric power plant in Brazil.

25 SATC Education Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral

26 SATC - Social Commitment

27 KEY POINTS To increase the use of the Brazilian coals it is necessary to address the technology issues regarding the use of low rank coals for conversion into clean fuels. Geologic survey, mining technologies, coal characterization and utilization, environmental technologies and capacity building for all the economic chain, should be done. Modernization of the fleet, new projects and a industrial coal policy to look at the economic chain is our goal.

28 Conclusion High energy demand in the world in near term low offer = high prices => look for domestic energy sources; Brazil will need all sources of energy and coal is important; Coal industry should be ready for a low carbon economy and, ABCM is compromised to contribute to an sustainable energy security future to Brazil.