NATIONAL VISION OF DEVELOPMENT

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Eliza Varejão Camilo
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1 REPÚBLICA DE MOÇAMBIQUE MINISTÉRIO DA PLANIFICAÇÃO E DESENVOLVIMENTO NATIONAL VISION OF DEVELOPMENT The Exercise to set a National Development Strategy Tangier, September of 2012

2 PRESENTATION STRUCTURE I. CONTEXTUALIZATION OF STRATEGIC PLANNING IN MOCAMBIQUE 1. EARLY AFTER INDEPENDENCE (1975) 2. ACTUAL VISION OF DEVELOPMENT 3. FUTURE VISION II. PLANNING INSTRUMENTS 1. TODAY 2. FUTURE

3 CONTEXTUALIZATION OF STRATEGIC PLANNING IN MOCAMBIQUE (1) 1. Early After Independence (1975) Centralized Economy ( ) PPI (Prospective Indicative Plan) The market economy approach (free market Bretton Wood Institutions) - were designed structural adjustment plans (PAIs) PRE (Rehabilitation Economic Plan) PRES (Social and Economic Rehabilitation Plan)

4 CONTEXTUALIZATION OF STRATEGIC PLANNING IN MOCAMBIQUE (2) 2. Actual Vision of Development The AGENDA 2025 Not a vision of emergence (it is a way for) But a national vision of development which had: Participatory process (community engagement and communication) Identification of priorities Characterization of the development of the country Presentation of the vision of the development sceneries: Goat Scenario of increased corruption, intolerance, social exclusion and possible return to war Determined by variables whose has implications for the future deterioration of the conditions of Peace, Stability and Social policy. Crab Scenario Each actor walk In zigzags (going as fast forward as backward), causing crises, followed by moments of slow and tenuous recovery simulating the consequences that arise changes in determining Democracy and Participation.

5 CONTEXTUALIZATION OF STRATEGIC PLANNING IN MOCAMBIQUE (3) 2. Actual Vision of Development (2) Scenario Tortoise Some factors grow more than others (unbalancing growth) still prevail large asymmetries and inequalities. Took as a starting point the improvement of competitiveness and Technological Transformation Bee Scenario inclusion, unity, tolerance, maximum use of the capabilities harmony and consistent growth. hypothesises that the performance of the determinant variables (Peace and Stability Social Democracy and Participation and Competitiveness and Technological Transformation are positive There is a significant increase in the variables (Human Capital and Social Capital) Desirable Scenario Focalised in internal and at external level With a vision of Mozambique as Entrepreneur ship Country and Continuum Success

6 Future Vision - ENDE (10 Years) Scenario 1: Current Situation 7-8% Scenario 2. Accelerated Growth (8-10%) Economic growth at the current rate and based on current conditions Coal is explored in the current base Agriculture growing at natural rates (historical), including other sectors Maintenance of the structure of the economy Additional services and manufacturing industry in growth Gradually increasing agricultural productivity Improvement of infrastructure linked to other sectors including mining (coal, and natural gas) Scenario 3: Growth Accelerated much (10-14%) Exploration of coal and gas (Extractive Industry) Gains from the exploitation of natural resources invested for construction of public infrastructure (Cooridors, rail ways and Ports, Roads, Bridges and Dams) Agriculture oriented large export projects Scenario 4. Growth in 5-8% Service-oriented economy and infrastructure: Transport and communications Tourism Other 6

7 PLANNING INSTRUMENTS: TODAY MDG Agenda 2025 NEPAD PROGRAMA QUINQENAL DO GOVERNO PROGRAMAÇÃO DE MÉDIO PRAZO Plano de Acção de Redução da Pobreza Absoluta (PARPA) Afectação prioritária de recursos Planos Estratégicos Sectoriais & Provinciais Integração da política e estratégia sectorial Harmonização da política e estratégia sectorial Enquadramento dos recursos e afectação inter-sectorial Cenário Fiscal de Médio Prazo (CFMP) Limites para investimento recursos internos e externos Plano Trienal de Investimento Publico (PTIP) Integração dos Objectivos e metas + Coordenação no processo de monitorização Integração dos Objectivos e metas sectoriais Cenáro macro e sectorial Limites de Despesa Orçamento de Investimento PLANOS OPERACIONAIS ANUAIS PLANO ECONÓMICO E SOCIAL (PES) Consistência da orçamentação com acções e objectivos de política ORÇAMENTO DO ESTADO (OE)

8 PLANNING INSTRUMENTS: FUTURE

9 REPÚBLICA DE MOÇAMBIQUE MINISTÉRIO DA PLANIFICAÇÃO E DESENVOLVIMENTO Tangier, September of 2012

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