Global & Regional Hospitality Industry Overview

Tamanho: px

Começar a partir da página:

Download "Global & Regional Hospitality Industry Overview"

Valentina Schmidt Marroquim
6 Há anos
Visualizações:

1 Global & Regional Hospitality Industry Overview Patricia Arturo Garcia

2 What had happened during those last 12 months?

3 Commodities prices downsizing

4 Ecuador Hearthquake

6 61/21 Dilma s Impeachment

7 Zika

9 STR Coverage Our Sample +54K Hotels +7.4M Hotel Rooms +110 Countries +2K Markets

10 STR Coverage Our Sample Hotels & Hotel Rooms +34K +4,100K +9.4K +1,200K K +8K +1,500K +1.2K +170K K Hotels Rooms

11 Global RevPAR % Change August 2016 YTD North America +3.1% Central America +3.0% Europe Northern Africa -1.0% +2.1% Middle East Asia -9.6% -0.6% South America +10.0% Southern Africa +6.9% Australia & Oceania +3.8% USD, Europe in EUR, Constant Currency

12 General supply growth across the globe Supply & Demand % Change, 2016 YTD Supply Demand 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 4.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.8% 4.7% 2.0% 1.2% 3.6% 5.0% 1.4% 2.9% -2.0% -3.1% North America & Caribbean Central America South America Europe Middle East Africa Asia Australia & Oceania

13 Double digits growth exc. Europe Pipeline % increase # of rooms 10% 3% 52% 11% 14% 14%

14 Central & South America

How we stand to date RevPAR % Change, 2016 YTD 55.8% 96.

15 How we stand to date RevPAR % Change, 2016 YTD 55.8% Occupancy ADR RevPAR -4.0% +12.9% +8.4% USD, Constant Currency

16 CSA -Currency fluctuations Foreign Currency Effect vs. Constant Currency RevPAR % Change Foreign Currency Effect Constant Currency 7.4% 8.4% -5.7% -2.1% -6.1% -24.4% Year End 2014 Year End 2015 Year To Date 2016 USD

17 What s driving growth? Main KPIs % Change YTD +2.8% % +11.5% % Supply Demand Occupancy ADR RevPAR Revenue USD, Constant Currency

18 Over two years of occupancy decline Main KPIs % Change, 2016 YTD Occupancy % change ADR % change RevPAR % change 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% USD, Constant Currency

19 Occupancies below 60% Monthly Occupancy, Jan % 65% 60% 55% 50% 45%

20 C&S America Monthly ADR $120 $115 $110 $105 $100 $95 $90 $85 $80 $75 $ USD, Constant Currency

21 Who s driving it? Supply & Demand % Change, 2016 YTD Supply Demand 0.8% 3.9% 6.8% 2.6% 3.4% 0.4% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 0.4% 7.7% -2.9% -2.1% -2.4% -4.9% -12.5% Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Peru Uruguay Costa Rica

22 Countries performance in absolute values Occupancy & ADR, Aug2016 YTD Occupancy ADR $133 $139 $121 $101 $94 $108 $100 $ % 53.2% 54.9% 56.9% 58.0% 62.4% 63.8% 68.9% USD

23 Top and Bottom Markets RevPAR % Change, 2016 YTD 57.3% 43.0% 29.9% 13.9% 3.4% -3,7% -5,3% -8% -20% -25% Buenos Aires Cordoba Rio de Janeiro Bogota Cusco Montevideo Santiago Sao Paulo Quito Manaus Local Currency

24 Rio de Janeiro s ADR pushed by Olympics Occupancy, ADR & RevPAR, 2016 YTD 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% ADR RevPAR Occupancy $ 200 $ 180 $ 160 $ 140 $ 120 $ 100 $ 80 $ 60 $ 40 $ 20 $ 0 USD

25 Mixed picture for the main markets Occupancy, ADR & RevPAR % Change, Aug 2016 YTD 65% Occupancy ADR RevPAR 55% 45% 57.3% 35% 29.9% 25% 15% 5% 13.9% 0.5% 3.4% 7.8% 8.9% -5% -15% -0.9% -8.0% -5.3% -3.7% -25% -20.5% Local Currency

26 Tourist Arrivals

27 South America International Tourist Arrivals ,000 6,000 6,306 5,736 Brazil Argentina 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 4,478 3,456 2,978 2,773 1,542 1,215 Chile Peru Colombia Uruguay Ecuador Paraguay

28 International Tourist Arrivals % change by Country 140.0% % 120.0% 100.0% 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% -20.0% 42.7 % 35.1 % 33.0 % 26.4 % 16.1 % 0.5 % Argentina Brasil Chile Colombia Ecuador Paraguay Peru Uruguay -6.3 %

140.0% International Tourist Arrivals % change 2011-2015 - by Country 132.0 % 2015/2014 120.0% 100.0% 80.0% 2015/2014 21.9 % 1st Sem.

29 140.0% International Tourist Arrivals % change by Country % 2015/ % 100.0% 80.0% 2015/ % 1st Sem % 87.2 % 1st Sem % 60.0% 42.7 % 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% Argentina Brasil Chile Colombia Ecuador Paraguay Peru Uruguay -20.0%

30 6,000 5,500 International Tourist Arrivals Main Destinations Caribbean & Central America ,600 Dominican Republic 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 3,542 3,491 2,660 Puerto Rico Cuba Costa Rica 2,000 1,

31 International Tourist Arrivals % change by Country 35.0% 30.0% 29.9 % 30.1 % 25.0% 21.4 % 20.0% 16.2 % 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Costa Rica Cuba Dominican Republic Puerto Rico

32 International Tourist Arrivals % change by Country 35.0% US tourist growth 30.0% 25.0% 76.7 % % 93.2 % YTD 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Costa Rica Cuba Dominican Republic Puerto Rico

33 Ecuador

34 Ecuador demand on decline % change YTD Supply Demand Occupancy ADR RevPAR Revenue

35 Twelve months of occupancy decline Occ/ADR/RevPAR % Change, 12 MMA, Occupancy % change ADR % change RevPAR % change 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15%

36 Quito vs Guayaquil Occ/ADR/RevPAR YE, YTD 2016 USD 120 USD 100 USD 80 USD 60 USD 40 USD 20 USD 0 ADR RevPAR Occupancy 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

37 ZIKA ANALYSIS

38 Zika high risk areas vs Performance RevPAR % change YTD, LC **Caribbean USD

39 H1N1 vs Zika demand trend Demand % change month by month Mexico'09 Caribbean'16 Brazil'16 Ecuador'

40 H1N1 Mexico demand long trend 12 MM Demand % change 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% Mexico Mexico City Cancun

41 A year to recover occupancy levels?? Occupancy % change, month by month Mexico Mexico City Cancun 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% -50% -100%

42 What can we expect from the next 12 months? Is there future for the hospitality business in the region?

Brazil continues leading pipeline for the region Pipeline by Room Count, Existing vs pipeline rooms Existing Pipeline Panama Dominican Republic

43 Brazil continues leading pipeline for the region Pipeline by Room Count, Existing vs pipeline rooms Existing Pipeline Panama Dominican Republic Costa Rica Chile Peru Colombia Mexico Brazil , Thousands 2016 STR. All Rights Reserved.

44 South America New Hotel Projects Accor - MGallery Santa Teresa Rio de Janeiro - Grand Mercure Barra da Tijuca - Novotel Rio de Janeiro Botagogo - Mama Shelter Rio de Janeiro - Mercure Santa Marta Carlson - Radisson Blu Santiago - Radisson Blu San Pablo - Radisson Blu Belo Horizonte - Radisson Red Campinas * Gerenciamiento directo Hilton - Hilton Garden Inn Guatemala City - Hilton Garden Inn Belo Horizonte - Double Tree by Hilton Bogota - Hilton Garden Inn Iquique - Hampton by Hilton Cucaramanga Hyatt - Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro - Hyatt Centric Montevideo - Hyatt Regency Cartagena - Hyatt Place San Jose de Rio Preto

45 South America New Hotel Projects Marriott - ACBM Costanera Center - Marriott Santa Cruz de la Sierra - Marriott Samborondon - Marriott Medellin - ACBM Cartagena Wyndham - Wyndham Quito Airport - Wyndham Buenos Aires - Days Inn Guatemala - Wyndham Grand Resort Barbados GHL GHL Collection Barranquilla Hyatt Place Tegucigalpa La Quinita Tegucigalpa Wyndham Guayaquil Wyndham Quito

46 Ecuador Hearthquake Argentina s new President Mauricio Macri

47 Peru s new President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski (PPK)

48 Colombia peace deal Peru s new President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski (PPK)

49 The light at the end of the tunnel is becoming visible

50 Thank you! Patricia Arturo Garcia

Documentos relacionados

Monitoring Brazilian FDI in Latin America

Monitoring Brazilian FDI in Latin America About us A Research Center which seeks to generate and disseminate knowledge about internationalization process of Brazilian firms. Products Scanning of Brazilian