Complex Transit Fare Modelling in São Paulo Metropolitan Area

Transcrição

1 Complex Transit Fare Modelling in São Paulo Metropolitan Area Produzido por: INRO Model City 2014, Seattle October 16, 2014

2 Project overview São Paulo Metropolitan Region 39 municipalities with over 20 million people. Public transportation is done by 17 urban trains and metro lines, around 1600 municipal bus lines and over 500 metropolitan bus lines 2

3 Project overview São Paulo Metropolitan Region 17 lines of urban trains and metro (6.5 million pax/day) 3

4 Project overview São Paulo Metropolitan Region 4 17 lines of urban trains and metro (6.5 million pax/day) around 1600 municipal bus lines (12 million/day)

5 Project overview São Paulo Metropolitan Region 5 17 lines of urban trains and metro (6.5 million pax/day) around 1600 municipal bus lines (12 million/day) over 500 metropolitan bus lines (1.7 million pax/day)

6 Project overview São Paulo Metropolitan Region 6 17 lines of urban trains and metro (6.5 million pax/day) around 1600 municipal bus lines (12 million/day) over 500 metropolitan bus lines (1.7 million pax/day)

7 RMSP public transport overview 5 metropolitan bus concession areas: 7

8 Project overview Objective: Integrate Metropolitan Lines with: Other metropolitan lines Municipal buses Metro and Urban Trains Estimate financial impact on concession areas (contracts) Check if Fare schemes promote benefits to users and improve accessibility; shouldn t generate subsidy to the State; 8

9 RMSP public transport overview Existing Fare Policy: = R$ 3.00 = R$ 3.00 (SP: 3h or 4 boarding) - Each city has its own policy = each line with different price (R$ 2,25 to R$7,00), no integration + = R$ = R$ 3.00 No integration betwen metropolitan and urban or rail, (except on specific points). There are many exceptions to the general rule in the network. Proposed Fare Policy: + = fare#1 + fare#2 - discount 9

10 RMSP public transport overview Detailed network: centrods; regular nodes; links; transit lines; transit segments 10

11 Modeling Transit Fares During assignment, the information about previous paths is not available, but sometimes this information is essential to determine the fare to be paid One solution: Modify the network in such way that, by where a person is at, you can be able to determine how he got there. The following slides tries to show this concept 11

12 Modeling Transit Fares Transit fare can be inserted (boarding time): at transit lines at nodes at walking links a combination of three 12

13 Modeling Transit Fares Example: How to model the case of SP municipal lines? R$ 3.00 (3h or 4 boardings) $ $ X X Using layers: Layer $ 0 13 Layer 0 C

14 Modeling Transit Fares = R$ 3.00 = R$ 3.00 (SP: 3h or 4 boarding) - Each city has its own policy = each line with different price (R$ 2,25 to R$7,00), no integration + = R$ $ 0 C $ $ $1.65 $1.65 Layer 2 (municipal) Layer 1 (train+metro) Layer 0 (metropolitan)

15 Modeling Transit Fares + = fare#1 + fare#2 - discount 15 $-disc $ 0 C $ $ $1.65 $ Layer 3 (metropolitan duplicated) 2nd board Layer 2 (municipal) Layer 1 (train+metro) Layer 0 (metropolitan)

16 $ $1.65 $1.65 Modeling Transit Fares + = fare#1 + fare#2 - discount 16 $-disc $ 0 C $ Layer 3 (metropolitan duplicated) 2nd board Layer 2 (municipal) Layer 1 (train+metro) Layer 0 (metropolitan)

17 $ $1.65 $1.65 Modeling Transit Fares + = fare#1 + fare#2 - discount 17 $-disc $ 0 C $ Layer 3 (metropolitan duplicated) 2nd board Layer 2 (municipal) Layer 1 (train+metro) Layer 0 (metropolitan)

18 Modeling Transit Fares Keep an eye on: Assignment algorithm: Path decisions are made at nodes, and since we are altering the lines at the nodes, assignment results can change. Before: Line A Line B Node x Decision at node x: Line A or Line B? 18

19 Modeling Transit Fares Keep an eye on: Assignment algorithm: Path decisions are made at nodes, and since we are altering the lines at the nodes, assignment results can change. Before: After: Line A Line B Node x Decision at node x: Line A or Line B? Line A Node y Line B Node x Decision at node x: Line A or walk? 19

20 Modeling Transit Fares Keep an eye on: Making a line goes through a node twice, will double its perceived frequency to users on that node. That is because the line is offered twice to users at that node. Node y Line A Node x Can board here and here 20

21 Modeling Transit Fares Keep an eye on: Making a line goes through a node twice, will double its perceived frequency to users on that node. That is because the line is offered twice to users at that node. Node y Line A Node x Can board here but not here Quick solution: Always prohibit boarding and alighting in one side 21

22 Modeling Transit Fares Keep an eye on: Creating layers will increase the use of network elements, check if your license size can handle it For Sao Paulo Network, the size change was: Element Before After Increase Zones 1,916 1,916 0% Nodes 11,022 25, % Links 39, , % Transit Lines 4,355 5,408 24% Transit Segments 174, ,808 76% 22

23 Modeling Transit Fares Keep an eye on: In each layer, the node numbers were increased by 100,000 The elevator links have length=0, travel time=0 and a exclusive auxiliary transit mode (speed = ul2*1) The fare is calculated as: ul2 (minutes) = Fare * Boarding_weight / Aux_weight It can be negative To compute the amount of fare paid (path details): Fare ($) = Aux_time * Aux_weight / Boarding_weight implementation validated using path details 23

24 Modeling Transit Fares Back to the RMSP model. The final layer structure for Metropolitan X Metropolitan integration used was: 24

25 Modeling Transit Fares The final layer structure for Metropolitan X Municipal used was: 25

26 Modeling Transit Fares Note that there are some diagonal links. This is because the rail lines are already segregated from the roads. It is easier to see in 3D: 26

27 Modeling Transit Fares Example of a full fare scheme in 3D R$0,0 R$0,0 R$0,0 R$0,0 R$0,0 R$0,0 R$0,0 R$0,0 R$0,0 R$0,0 R$1,1 R$0,8 R$1,1 R$0,8 R$1,1 R$1,1 Lay5 Linhas ônibus auxiliar STCO, STEC, seletivo, metropolitano para integração Onibus metrô ônibus Lay4 Linhas metrô auxiliar Integração ônibus (com ou sem BU) metrô onibus Tarifa no nó = penalidade transferência Tarifa na linha = zero Lay3 Linhas sem BU Integração trilhos com STEC, Seletivo, Metropolitano Tarifa no nó = penalidade transferência Tarifa na linha = zero Lay2 Linhas com BU 2º embarque STCO Tarifa no nó = penalidade transferência Tarifa na linha = zero 27 R$0,0 R$0,0 R$1,1 R$0,8 R$3,1 R$0,0 R$1,1 R$0,0 R$2,8 R$0,0 Lay1 Linhas com BU 1º embarque STCO Tarifa no nó = penalidade transferência Tarifa na linha = zero Lay 0 Linhas sem BU STEC, Seletivo, Metropolitano, metrô e trem Tarifa no nó = penalidade transferência Tarifa na linha = R$2,80

28 Implementation Network modifications are made automatically during assignment process. No editing or network manipulation is done in a layered network Assignment process: Script developed using Python/Emme API Tasks: Create a copy of scenario and make it active Perform auto assignment store results on link data Create layers Set up fares on network Perform transit assignment Aggregate transit results (link and node activities) in layer 0 28

29 Implementation User friendly interface 29

30 Path details analysis Path details analysis Used to verify the layer scheme and for analyze model outputs 30

31 Path details analysis Path details analysis 31

32 Path details analysis Path details analisys (example of 1 OD pair) 32

33 Path details analysis Simulation results: mode to mode trips 33

34 Project results Simulation results: mode to mode trips 34 HH OD 2007 RMSP Combinação % 1 x SPTRANS 23,80% 1 x OM 12,82% 1 x OUTROS 12,15% 2 x SPTRANS 10,61% 1 x EMTU 7,68% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO 5,81% 1 x CPTM 2,20% 1 x METRO 2,11% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x EMTU 1,64% 3 x SPTRANS 1,57% 2 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO 1,57% 2 x CPTM 1,29% 1 x CPTM + 1 x OM 1,26% 1 x METRO + 1 x EMTU 1,10% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x CPTM 1,10% 2 x OM 1,00% 1 x OM + 1 x EMTU 0,77% 1 x OUTROS + 1 x METRO 0,60% 1 x METRO + 1 x CPTM + 1 x OM 0,55% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x CPTM + 1 x METRO 0,46% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x OM 0,45% 2 x EMTU 0,43% Demais combinações 9,03% Model Base Scenario Combinação % 1 x SPTRANS 25,29% 2 x SPTRANS 10,69% 1 x OM 10,59% 1 x EMTU 7,24% 2 x OM 4,68% a pé 4,37% 1 x EMTU + 1 x OM 2,48% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO 2,46% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x CPTM + 1 x METRO 2,13% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO 2,08% 1 x CPTM + 1 x OM 1,59% 2 x SPTRANS + 1 x CPTM + 1 x METRO 1,45% 1 x CPTM 1,37% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO + 1 x OM 1,37% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x EMTU 1,31% 1 x METRO 1,09% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x CPTM + 1 x METRO 1,04% 1 x METRO + 1 x CPTM 1,03% 2 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO 1,02% 1 x METRO + 1 x EMTU 1,02% 1 x OM + 1 x SPTRANS 0,94% 2 x METRO + 2 x SPTRANS 0,88% 1 x CPTM + 2 x METRO 0,66% 3 x OM 0,66% 1 x CPTM + 2 x METRO + 1 x SPTRANS 0,63% 2 x METRO + 2 x SPTRANS 0,62% 2 x EMTU 0,57% Demais combinações 10,73% Model Scen with integration Combinação % 1 x SPTRANS 25,12% 2 x SPTRANS 11,88% 1 x OM 10,46% 1 x EMTU 6,48% 2 x OM 4,41% a pé 4,18% 1 x EMTU + 1 x OM 2,79% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x CPTM + 1 x METRO 2,40% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO 2,22% 2 x EMTU 2,22% 1 x CPTM + 1 x OM 1,78% 2 x SPTRANS + 1 x CPTM + 1 x METRO 1,64% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO 1,52% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO + 1 x OM 1,43% 1 x CPTM 1,34% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x CPTM + 1 x METRO 1,12% 1 x METRO + 1 x CPTM 1,10% 2 x SPTRANS + 1 x METRO 1,00% 1 x SPTRANS + 1 x EMTU 0,98% 1 x METRO 0,92% 1 x OM + 1 x SPTRANS 0,82% 2 x METRO + 2 x SPTRANS 0,73% 1 x CPTM + 2 x METRO + 1 x SPTRANS 0,68% 1 x CPTM + 2 x METRO 0,63% 2 x SPTRANS + 1 x CPTM 0,52% 1 x METRO + 1 x EMTU 0,51% 2 x METRO + 2 x SPTRANS 0,49% Demais combinações 10,64%

35 Project results Volumes on links colored by mode 35

36 Project results Scenario comparison - Volume 36

37 R$ / HPM R$ / HPM Project results Revenue comparison between scenarios Área Desconto Arrec. R$ / HPM Zero 143, % 25% 150, % 50% 150, % 75% 147, % 100% 143, % Zero 198, % 25% 200, % 50% 202, % 75% 200, % 100% 200, % Zero 126, % 25% 127, % 50% 127, % 75% 127, % 100% 124,684 98% Zero 66, % 25% 69, % 50% 72, % 75% 72, % 100% 75, % Arrecadação Zero 25% 50% 75% 100% Desconto a partir do segundo embarque Arrecadação Área 1 Área 2 Área 3 Área 4 Área 5 Metra 37 5 Metra Total Zero 178, % 25% 176,546 99% 50% 174,278 98% 75% 168,627 95% 100% 162,942 91% Zero 129, % 25% 127,086 98% 50% 125,096 97% 75% 128, % 100% 122,227 95% Zero 843, % 25% 851, % 50% 851, % 75% 845, % 100% 829,192 98% Zero 25% 50% 75% 100% Desconto a partir do segundo embarque Total EMTU

38 Thank You! MATRIZ São Paulo R. Marcondes de Andrade, Ipiranga - São Paulo/SP - Brasil - CEP Tel/Fax: FILIAL Salvador Av. Lucaia, Edif. Prof. Jorge Novis - Sala Salvador/BA - Brasil - CEP Tel/Fax: SITE: - ttc@ttc.com.br 38